Silver will be 20 Million $ an Ounce.
So, is the sky really falling? Many say yes. But, not so fast. Sure, some things don’t look good. We have an intrinsically worthless fiat paper money, but is that new? Since, the 1970s the fiat in deed has been intrinsically worthless, but not extrinsically valueless. Hmmm? So where does the value come from? Confidence? Well yes. The amount in circulation? Well yes. Anything else. There is one factor, the most important, that gives the dollar real value. Guess what it is? Well silver is THE constitutional money, so I will focused on that lawful real money. Today, there are no substantial above ground silver stocks. OK, but what is the annual production of silver 400Moz? Guessing of course, never said I was an expert. But, nonetheless, that's allot silver. Sure, there is also what 440Moz in Demand. That's allot to. Ok, and there has been for 15 years running, a 40Moz annual deficit in silver, which was made up by bank sales, which are now exhausted, with some scrap filling in. We all get this. But, Silver is mineralized in many different ores, and is produced mostly as a by-product of mining. Today, the vast amount of silver on this earth, is low grade, well, low grade relative market price. Hmmm? What if silver was 10,000$/oz, would there be a few more "profitable" mines about. I would think so. There is plenty of silver world wide, if the price was right to mine low grade ores.
I love the real dooms-day guys, Hat-Trick and Daily Reckoning are the stand outs of course. I just roar, at times, at the self centeredness of them all, with their little hoard, while pounding the doom-and-gloom. If gold and silver goes through the roof, sure, us bugs would do well, but lets at least acknowledge the greed motivations behind most their prophecies. The US government will continue its twin deficits, and that's a good thing, if you want the dollar to become toast as I do. Its alleged by these oracles, that the four insolvent pillars to the US Economy, federal budget, current account trade deficit, bank capital, and homeowner equity are insolvent with all directed toward mammoth unprecedented monetary inflation. Ok, that is the economic reality. But is it really so bad? Actually, I am cheering them on, the printing presses, actually. I want the fiat dollar absolutely destroyed, burnt, and toasted crisp because I want a return to real money economies worldwide, and the world reserve currency is the best place to start the conversion. The doom and gloom folks only look for what they want to see to sustain their shrill, their subscriptions, their mine share prices, while pounding their chess in coc-sure predictions.
I come at it from a different direction. The dollar is to be gracefully, (not catastrophically), degraded for some time to come, to sustain the USA empire, in its role as global cop, to civilize this world. Its all about d$/dt, the time rate of change of the dollar value. The dollar will take major hits from time to time, but will bounce up from time to time as well, in the continue graceful degradation. One may ask, how can that be, if all looks so bad for the paper dollar. Well, the US government has jurisdiction over you and your money, we can not hide, as we spend 20% of our time just trying to figure out how to reduce our tax burden. That is evil for sure. The tax on income is obscene of course. Tax property, tax sales, tax inheritance, but the government should never tax income, that engine which drives all prosperity in the end. When the fiat is finally destroyed, I hope DC has wisdom to revamp the tax code to limit taxes to only property, sales and inheritances, and no more. However, the power to tax is that mythical power that breaths that unknown value into the paper fiat dollar. The government will tax you, and will demand payment or throw your butt in jail, but wont ask for payment in cows or goats, but paper fiat dollars, and to pay, you have to sell your cows and your goats to get those tax fiat dollars, or you go to jail. As such, the government, through federal taxes maintains the value of the dollar, and yet through its printing presses degrade the dollar, and between the two, the government effectively has absolute control of the graceful degradation of the value of the dollar, to sustain it, as long as it want. Did you get that? The government can intrinsically control the dooms day.
In other words, the US government can degrade the fiat dollar has much as it decides to do so, and can project power world wide, as long as it wants to, through deficits, and can balance the value of the dollar, through taxes. Only when the world is civilized, and that means completing the war on the islamofascists first, and only when the majority of the people have had enough of the IRS and their enslaved tit-sucking-pigs, will the government trash the paper dollar and go back to a real money economy. There is no doom-and-gloom, but rather, a tight-rope balancing act of economic, political, and military forces that control the graceful degradation of the dollar, enroute to when the world and people demand fairness, and when war and fiat are completely replaced by trade and gold. The government needs the value of gold and silver to also rise to maintain miner supply of real money. Hence, the Gold Cartel and the Silver Price Managers will enable a continuous rise in real money value in reciprocal to a graceful degrading dollar. See how that works, its all about d$/dt. In those days, when the fiat is finally abandoned by all, the government can redeem FRNs at 50 billion dollars an ounce and wipe out the national debt in a glorious rebirth of freedom using real money, which means that silver will be 20 million dollars an ounce.
Derrick
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Gold and Silver are PURE MONEY.
The fiat dollar has an instrinsic worth of zero, has monetary worth only because the IRS under penalty of imprisonment demands payment in fiat dollars and by law is legal tender. It is inherently worthless as a confidence game, "in god we trust", but God did not make fiat dollars.
God made gold and silver, price very cheap, (34,000$/oz if USdebtExternally/gold-US-reserves), and at 900$/oz for gold, ITS VERY CHEAP, and the gold train is leaving the station.
This day, the confidence game continues, with Bernake and BHO proclaiming light at the end of the tunnel. The con goes on, until the train in your face, which it is, as we all see the results over the last year and expected to continue for some time. "There is a gimler of hope". Well you dont have to hope with gold, but you sure do with fiat.
ALL ABOARD!!!! But what train are you getting on, the one coming or going?
When the government demeans gold and controls its price through COMEX futures derviatives, to reinforce the ancient relic status, to prop up the fiat dollar APPEARANCE, that is part of the fiat propaganda CON. You buying it?
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Le Patron,
An Unseasonal Summer Rally?
Silver just hit 14$/oz, after an impressive 12% rise last week. Gold performance was good to, and gold now has an important 900 handle, again. Bonds and the Dollar are concurrently breaking down, and, so is the Gold:Silver Ratio, collectively indicating a massive surge in bullion prices. Confidence is building in the general markets, as the quantitative easing, attempting to kep long bond yeilds low, so as not to tank the economy, insures an end of the deflation talk, with ignited re-inflation soon to follow, adding an extra, yet conventional, massive upward push to bullion prices.
Silver is poised to break out of a cup/handle formation, over 14.50$/oz, for a quick snap back to 16.75$/oz, this May, with a follow on to 20$ through June, in lock step with, but outpeforming, Gold as it moves to $1000. Gold looks forward to the 900s wall of worry in May and June, but with much volatility in the 900s until the end of June, to new all time highs by Q2 end, and in so doing, will break out of a monster 11 month SHSe-1 formation, to rocket bullion much higher in prices. While most of the bulls sit on the sidelines, indicated by suppressed COT levels, in the traditional "In May, Go Away" vacation time, the bullion train is quietly pulling out of the station, with practically NO ONE ON BOARD!! If one is not careful, reading tea leaves, and entrails, one may miss the boat, the train, and the new all time highs expected, as there is a conjunction of indicators and perceptions occurring, RIGHT NOW, indicating a launch of Gold to 1200$ and silver to 30$, in July and August, for an unseasonal summer rally.
Derrick
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